Gary Doran

Advanced Stats Report: Arizona

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As we continue our Advanced Stats Report series, we look at the following graphs exhibiting how the Sun Devils and their in-state rival, the Arizona Wildcats, match-up by the numbers in looking towards this year’s Territorial Cup.

Offensive Production

Points_Made

  • In their seven home games in 2014, the Wildcats scored an average of 39.3 points per game, while in the seven away games, the averaged dropped to 29.7 points per game
  • In the seven games the Wildcats played in the 2014 season against unranked teams, they had an average score of 41.7 points per game, while in their seven games against ranked teams they averaged only 27.3 points per game

Pts_Scored_Qtr

  • In the second quarter of the games played in the 2014 season, the lowest scoring quarter for the Wildcats was also the highest scoring quarter for the Sun Devils

TDs_Scored

  • Against five North Division opponents in the 2014 season, the Wildcats averaged scoring 4.6 touchdowns per game, while against the four non-conference foes they scored an average of 4.3 touchdowns per game and against their five South Division foes, they average 4.2 touchdowns per game
  • The Wildcats scored 45 percent of their passing touchdowns in the first four games of the 2014 season

Plays_Run

  • In the 2014 season, the Wildcat offense ran the third most plays per game in the Pac-12 Conference, behind Washington State and Cal.

Yards_Gained

  • In the 2014 season, the Wildcat offense gained roughly 100 yards more per home games than road games
  • With each passing month in the 2014 season, the Wildcat offense averaged gaining fewer yards per game than they had the previous month, (Aug&Sep-594/Oct-473/Nov-396/After Season-358)
  • In the first four games of the 2014 season, the Wildcat offense averaged 593.8 yards per game, while in the next ten games the averaged dropped to 411.6 yards per game

Run_Gained

  • In the third quarter of the games played in the 2014 season, the Wildcats averaged 5.5 yards per carry, while in the other three quarters they averaged 4.1 yards per carry
  • During the 2014 season when the Wildcat offense snapped the ball between their own goal line and their forty yard line, they averaged 5.8 yards per carry, while in the rest of the field of play they average only 3.5 yards per carry
  • When the Wildcats were ahead in a game in the 2014 season, they averaged 5.35 yards per carry, whereas when they were behind in a game the averaged dropped to 3.26

Pass_Gained

  • With each passing month in the 2014 season, the average yards per pass attempt declined from the previous month, (Aug&Sep-8.2/Oct-6.9/Nov-6.3/Dec&Jan-5.9)
  • During the second quarter of the games in the 2014 season, the Wildcat offense averaged only 5.32 yards per pass attempt, while in the other three quarters the average was 7.55 per pass attempt
  • In back-to-back games against Utah and ASU during the 2014 season, the Wildcats averaged 10.0 yards per pass attempt, whereas the average against the other eight conference teams was only 6.1 yards per catch

Pass_Completion

  • In the first seven games of the 2014 season, the Wildcat passers completed 63 percent of their passes, whereas in the second half the completion percentage dropped to 49 percent
  • In the first and third quarters combined in games in the 2014 season, the Wildcat offense completed 61 percent of its passes, while in the second and fourth quarters combined, the completion percentage dropped to 52 percent

Interceptions_Thrown

  • On first down plays in games during the 2014 season, the Wildcat offense threw an interception once every 98 passes, on second down plays it was once every 75 passes, on third down plays it was once every 27 passes, while no interceptions were thrown in eight passes on fourth down
  • When the Wildcats were ahead in a game during the 2014 season, the offense threw an interception once every 58 passes, whereas when they were behind they threw an interception once every 45 passes

3rd_Down_Made

  • In the first eight games against conference foes in the 2014 season, the Wildcat offense averaged converting 42.3 percent of their third down opportunities, whereas in the last four games against conference foes, they averaged converting only 26.8 percent of their third down opportunities
  • In five of the first seven games of the 2014 season, the Wildcat offense converted over 50 percent of third down opportunities, while in the next seven games the offense did not convert at least 50 percent of their third down opportunities one time

RZ_TDs_Made

  • In games against five Pac-12 North opponents in the 2014 season, the Wildcat offense scored red zone touchdowns 62.5 percent of their chances, while only 52.4 percent of their chances against their five South Division opponents
  • In the ten games the Wildcats won during the 2014 season, they scored 28 red zone touchdowns in 46 red zone opportunities for a 61 percent success rate, whereas in the four games they lost, the Wildcat offense scored only five red zone touchdowns in fourteen opportunities for a 36 percent success rate

Defensive Output

Points_Allowed

  • The points the Wildcat defense allowed against the seven ranked and seven unranked teams they played in the 2014 season wasn’t too different in that the ranked teams averaged scoring 29.0 points per game and the unranked teams 27.4 points per game
  • In the first eleven games of the 2014 season, the Wildcats allowed 30 points or more to be score on them twice, while in the final three games, all three opponents scored more than 30 points

Pts_Allowed_Qtr

  • In the 2014 season, the Wildcats allowed the most points in the second quarter, which happened to be the quarter in which the Sun Devils scored the most points
  • In the 2014 season, the Wildcats allowed the fewest points in the first quarter, which happened to be the quarter in which the Sun Devils scored the fewest points

TDs_Allowed

  • During the regular 2014 season, the Wildcat defense allowed twelve rushing touchdowns to be scored in twelve games, while in the two post-season games, the defense allowed seven rushing touchdowns
  • When the Wildcats were behind in a game during the 2014 season, the defense allowed eleven rushing touchdowns to be scored, whereas when they were ahead, they allowed only six rushing touchdowns

Plays_Faced

  • In the first six games of the regular 2014 season, the Wildcat defense did not face 80 plays or more in a game, whereas in the next six games the Wildcats faced 80 plays or more four times

Yards_Allowed

  • In the seven games the Wildcats played against ranked teams and the seven games they played against unranked teams in the 2014 season, the defense gave up close to the same amount of yards to both, (Ranked-456/Unranked-446)

Run_Allowed

  • In the ten games the Wildcats won in the 2014 season, they allowed an average of 3.55 yards per carry, while they allowed 5.23 yards per carry in the four games they lost
  • In the first half of their games in the 2014 season, the Wildcat defense allowed an average of 4.41 yards per carry, whereas in the second half it was reduced to only 3.70 yards per carry
  • In the 2014 season, the Wildcat defense allowed the most yards per carry to occur when their opponents were between their own goal line and their own 20 yard line at 4.77 yards per carry

Pass_Allowed

  • In a three game span against Nevada, California and Oregon early in the 2014 season, the Wildcat defense allowed an average of 9.8 yards per pass attempt, then in the next three games against USC, WSU and UCLA, the defense only allowed an average of 7.2 yards per pass attempt
  • In the first half of their games in the 2014 season, the Wildcat defense allowed an average of 8.14 yards per pass attempt, while only allowing an average of 6.57 per pass attempt in the second half

Completions_Allowed

  • In the first three quarters of play in the 2014 season, the Wildcat defense allowed 66.9 percent of opponents’ passes to be completed, whereas in the fourth quarter, it was reduced to 60.3 percent of passes completed
  • In the 2014 season, opponents completed the greatest percentage of their passes when they were in the Wildcat’s red zone at 71.2 percent

3rd-Downs_Allowed

  • During each successive month of the 2104 season, the Wildcat defense allowed opponents to convert a larger percentage of their third down opportunities, (Aug&Sep-36.8/Oct-39.6/Nov-42.1/Dec&Jan-43.8)
  • In five games against North Division opponents in the 2014 season, the Wildcat defense allowed an average of 45.3 percent of those opponents’ third down chances to be converted to first downs, whereas the five South Division opponents only converted an average of 39.3 percent of their third down chances

RZ_TDs_Allowed

  • In the first six games of the regular 2014 season, the Wildcat defense allowed an average of 70.6 percent of red zone chances to end in red zone touchdown, while in the next six games of the regular season, the percentage dropped to only 52.2 percent
  • The percent of red zone opportunities that ended in red zone touchdowns in the games that the Wildcats won in the 2014 season was almost the same as the percentage in the four games they lost, (Wins-60.0/Losses-61.1)

TFLs_Made

  • In the 2014 season, the Wildcat defense averaged more TFLs per game against ranked teams than against unranked teams, (7.57/6.43)
  • In the 2014 season, the Wildcat defense averaged more TFLs against conference opponents than against non-conference opponents, (7.70/5.25)
  • In the 2014 game against ASU, the Wildcat defense registered more TFLs than any other teams in the 2014 season, (15)

Sacks_Made

  • The seven sacks the Wildcats registered against the Sun Devils in their 2014 game was the most for the Wildcat defense since a game against WSU in October 2010

Interceptions_Made

  • In the ten games the Wildcats won in the 2014 season, the defense intercepted eleven of the 403 passes they faced, while in the four games they lost, the defense only intercepted two of the 131 pass they faced
  • In the 2014 season, the Wildcat defense got more than half of their total interceptions in the fourth quarter of their games, (7)
  • In the 2014 season, almost 40 percent of all the Wildcat interceptions happened when the Cats were ahead by more than two touchdowns, (5 of 13)

What the Numbers Say

The Wildcat offense was decent during the 2014 season in placing fifth in scoring, total offense and rushing offense in the conference. The passing offense was at times, very good and at other times not very good in placing sixth in overall passing offense, but tenth in passing efficiency in the conference. That’s the sign of a freshman quarterback. The Wildcat offense was good in moving the chains, as they finished second in the conference in gaining first downs

The Wildcat defense was somewhat the opposite of the Wildcat offense in that many of the overall defensive stats were not overly impressive, but the they did a decent job on the more aggressive defensive categories. The Wildcats were tenth in the conference in total defense, ninth in both pass defense and pass efficiency defense and eleventh in rushing defense and first downs allowed. They were also tenth in the percentage of third down opportunities they allowed.

Where the Wildcat did a decent job defensively was in the areas of TFLs where they were second in the conference, interceptions where they were fourth in the conference, sacks where they were fifth in the conference and turnover margin where they are also fifth in the conference.

It seems from the numbers that the Wildcats made the most of their opportunities on both offense and defense. The offense’s passing and passing efficiency should get better with a year of experience for the quarterback. At the same time, it remains to be seen if the defense can capitalize as much on the defensive opportunities as it did in the 2014 season.

About Gary Doran

Gary Doran

Gary graduated from ASU many years ago. After careers working in banking, finance and the financial administration of academic research funding, he is now interested in utilizing his passion for numbers towards two things he thoroughly loves; Arizona State University and college football. He is looking forward to finding the “stories” buried within the numbers on a football stat sheet. He has gone to ASU football games all the way back to the days of Frank Kush and the WAC. He has been married to an amazing ASU graduate for almost forty years, and they currently live in Ventura, CA. Although this may disqualify him from talking football, he and his wife enjoy the practice of yoga and dancing the Argentine Tango. Ole!

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