Gary Doran

Weekly Stat-Pac: Defense Week 10


It’s All About the Score

– Stanford is still tops in scoring defense in allowing 16.1 points per game.
– Utah is tops in scoring defense in the first half allowing only 71 total points.
– Stanford is tops in scoring defense in the second half allowing only 66 points.
– Stanford’s second half average just over a touchdown and PAT.


Scoring by Quarter

– ASU and USC are pretty stingy in the first quarter

– Cal is pretty generous in the first quarter

– The second quarter is the most productive for the offenses.


Defense by the Yard

– Last weekend the conference teams averaged giving up 440 total yards per game.
– Stanford still leads the conference in only giving up 281 yards per game.
– Utah is second giving up 342 yards per game
– Oregon State is third giving up 369 yards per game.
– ASU is fourth at 385 per game. Three weeks earlier, the average was 452 per game.
– ASU has not given up more than 300 total yards in the last three games.
– Until last weekend, UCLA had not held any opponent under 320 yards per game.
– California’s defense gives up the most yards in the conference at 526 yards per game.


First Defense

– Stanford has forced its opponent to run 4.0 plays to gain a first down
– ASU has forced its opponents to run 3.8 plays to gain a first down.
– Utah has forced its opponents to run 3.6 plays to gain a first down.
– Oregon’s opponents gain a first down in only 3.1 plays.
– Stanford averages 17.0 first downs per game, which is lowest in the conference.
– Cal averages giving up 28.0 first downs per game, which is tops in the conference.
– In the last five games, ASU has held opponents under 20 first downs four times.


Third Time’s a Charm (A New Graph)

– Oregon has allowed 69 third down conversions so far this year.
– UCLA has faced the most third down situations by its opponents at 148.
– Oregon State has only faced 117 third down situations by its opponents.
– Oregon is the only team to allow more than a 40 percent third down success rate.
– USC is the best at stopping third down conversion attempts at only 33.6 percent.


TFLs – A Lost Cause

– Arizona was the only team to register double-digit TFLs last weekend at 11.
– Colorado only registered two TFLs last week against Washington.
– Stanford registered the fewest TFLs this season with only four against Oregon.
– In the past three weeks, Washington has registered 28 TFLs.
– In the past three weeks ASU has registered 26 TFLs.
– Utah causes a TFL once every 8.6 plays, which is tops in the conference.
– ASU causes a TFL once every 9.2 plays, which is second best in the conference.
– Stanford dropped to third best with a TFL once every 9.5 plays.


Sack It Up

– Utah leads the conference with a sack once every 7.8 pass attempts.
– Washington is second with a sack once every 9.2 pass attempts.
– Stanford is third with a sack once every 10.5 pass attempts.
– Cal only registers a sack once every 36.9 pass attempts.
– Every team registered a sack this past weekend.
– Utah and Arizona had the most sack this past weekend with four each.
– UCLA registered almost a quarter of all its sacks for the season last weekend


Turnover Beethoven

– ASU and Oregon State are the only two teams not to get a takeaway last weekend.
– Stanford got a turnover last weekend, which was its first in three weeks.
– Colorado got three takeaways this past weekend, which was a season high.
– ASU has not forced a turnover in half its games so far.
– Oregon and Oregon State force a turnover once every 40.4 plays
– USC forces a turnover once every 41,7 plays.
– Washington State only forces a turnover once every 93.6 plays.


Red Zoning Out

– Washington allows red zone touchdowns in 43.2 percent of opponent chances.
– USC allows red zone touchdowns in 45.7 percent of opponent chances.
– ASU allows red zone touchdowns in 50.0 percent of opponent chances.
– Utah has only allowed opponents into its red zone 21 times in 107 offensive drives.
– Oregon has allowed opponents into its red zone 36 times in 104 offensive drives.
– Oregon State allows opponents red zone touchdowns in over 70 percent of its tries.


Havoc Rate (the aggressive defense measurement)

– Seven of the conference teams increased their Havoc Rate this past weekend.
– ASU’s Havoc Rate has increase more than any other conference team since Week 6.
– Utah’s Havoc Rate has decreased more than any other conference team since Week 6.
– Eight conference teams have a better Havoc Rate now than what they had last year.
– South Division has a 19.44 percent Havoc Rate; the North Division is 19.12 percent.
– USC leads the conference in pass break ups with 49.

Havoc Rate developed by Bill Connelly at Football Outsiders

Next ASU Opponent: Notre Dame

Here is a look at ASU’s next defensive opponent the Fighting Irish comparing how the team has done so far this year versus the results from all of 2013.

Points allowed per game…2014—22…….…..2013–22
Yards allowed per game….2014—359….……2013–366
Turnovers per game……….2014—2.0……..…2013–1.3
Giving up red zone TDs……2014—69%………2013—52%
3rd down conversion rate..2014—37%……….2013—42%
Completions % allowed…..2014—59%………2013—59%
Havoc Rate…………………..2014—17.9%……2013—14.6%

A lot of the categories are very similar to last year, however, Notre Dame is getting a few more turnovers per game and do have an improved Havoc Rate over last year’s. As far as their Havoc Rate, there are eight teams in the Pac-12 with a better rate. They are also somewhat generous in giving up red zone touchdowns.

Let us know what you think of our weekly Stat-Pac for the defenses in the conference, and also our new Havoc Rate. Impacting the opponent’s offense and quarterback is a mainstay of a Todd Graham defense, and why we began tracking the Havoc Rate for ASU and the conference.

About Gary Doran

Gary Doran

Gary graduated from ASU many years ago. After careers working in banking, finance and the financial administration of academic research funding, he is now interested in utilizing his passion for numbers towards two things he thoroughly loves; Arizona State University and college football. He is looking forward to finding the “stories” buried within the numbers on a football stat sheet. He has gone to ASU football games all the way back to the days of Frank Kush and the WAC. He has been married to an amazing ASU graduate for almost forty years, and they currently live in Ventura, CA. Although this may disqualify him from talking football, he and his wife enjoy the practice of yoga and dancing the Argentine Tango. Ole!

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