Gary Doran

Weekly Stat-Pac: Defense Week 13


We are going into the final week of the regular season, and it’s Territorial Cup Week too! Let’s see what changes took place last week on the defensive side of the ball. There are a couple of new graphs to help us see the changes.

Scoring Allowed by Quarter


– Stanford has given up an average of only 16.5 points per game in the pass-happy Pac-12.
– Oregon State has only allowed 26 points to be scored on them in the third quarter, but 107 points in the fourth quarter.
– Utah has only allowed 31 points to be scored on them in the third quarter, but 106 points in the fourth quarter.
– UCLA has only allowed 49 points to be scored on them in the first quarter, but 106 points in the second quarter.
– Washington State is the only team to allow opponents to score 100 points or more in all four quarters.
– Almost one-third of all the points scored for the teams combined happen in the second quarter.

Touchdowns Allowed by Run or Pass


– Stanford’s defense has only given up 21 touchdowns in 11 games this season.
– Utah and Oregon’s defenses have allowed the second fewest touchdowns at 30, which is 40 percent more than Stanford.
– Cal’s defense has allowed 55 touchdowns in 11 games, 37 of those happened through the air.
– Utah has only allowed nine touchdowns on the ground in 11 games, with four happening last week against Arizona.
– Oregon State is the only conference team to give up more rushing touchdowns than passing touchdowns this year.

Total Yards Allowed by Run or Pass


– Stanford is the only team to average giving up fewer than 300 yards per game.
– ASU gave up the most yards its defense has allowed so far this season to WSU last week.
– In the last three games, the ASU defense has averaged giving up 535 yards per game.
– California defense is the only conference team to average giving up more than 500 yards per game.
– The Utah defense had not given up more than 500 yards in a game in its first eight contests, but it has twice now in the past three games.
– The California defense has given up almost 4000 yards this season through the air.
– The Stanford defense is first in rushing defense and first in passing defense.
– Five of the conference teams have given up more than 3000 yards through the air this season.
– The Colorado defense has given up 500 more yards on the ground than the next highest team.

Avg. Yards Allowed by Run and Pass


– Stanford, Washington, Utah, USC and UCLA all have held their opponents under 4.0 rushing yards per carry this season.
– Stanford holds opponents to only 5.3 yards per pass attempt, which is almost a yard better than the next best defense.
– Five teams hold opponents to under 7.0 yards per pass attempt: Stanford, Oregon State, USC, UCLA and Utah.
– Washington State averages giving up 8.5 yards for every pass attempt this year, which is double what it gives up on the ground.

Number of First Downs Allowed by Run-Pass-Penalty


– The ASU defense has only given up 15 first downs by penalty, the lowest in the conference.
– The USC defense has given up the most first downs by penalty surrendering 36 so far this year.
– Stanford averages giving up only 17.3 first downs per game, which is best in the conference.
– Stanford is best in the conference in the number of plays it forces opponents to play in order to get a first down at 4.0.
– The ASU defense is second in making opponents, on average, run 3.7 plays to gain a first down.
– The Stanford defense gives up the fewest first downs in the conference against the run and the pass.

Percentage of Third Down Conversions Allowed


– Oregon, Cal, Arizona and OSU have allowed third down conversions at a 40 percent rate or higher.
– The USC defense has only allowed 57 third down conversions this season.
– The Washington defense has faced the most third down situations this year at 194.
– The Colorado defense has faced the fewest third down situations this year at 157.
– The Oregon defense averages giving up roughly 7.1 third down conversions per game this year.
– Colorado, USC and Washington defenses each allowed nine successful third down conversions last week.

Tackle for Losses (TFLs)


– WSU registered the most TFLs last week against ASU with nine.
– ASU has racked up 46 TFLs in the last five weeks for an average of 9.2 per game.
– Utah leads the conference again with a TFL once every 9.0 plays, with Stanford second with one every 9.3 plays.
– The Cal defense only registered one TFL last week against its rival Stanford.
– The Utah defense has registered the highest number of TFLs this season with 93, ASU is next with 88 TFLs.
– Colorado and Cal have not registered more than seven TFLs in a game this season.
– The California defense only registers a TFL once every 17.4 plays, which is the worst in the conference.

Number of Sacks Generated


– ASU and UCLA tied for causing the most sacks last week with six each.
– The Cal defense still has only sacked opposing quarterbacks 13 times this year.
– Utah leads the conference with 49 sacks, which is almost four times the number generated by the Cal defense.
– Washington registered its most sacks last week since the ASU game in Week Nine.
– WSU got its second most sacks in a week this season against ASU.
– All the teams combined average a sack once every 14.1 pass attempts this year.

Turnover: Fumbles and Interceptions


– The Washington State defense still has not gotten an interception in conference play this year.
– The ASU defense now leads the conference with a takeaway once every 36 plays.
– ASU now leads the conference in getting an interception once every 30.7 pass attempts.
– Colorado and WSU are the only two teams without double-digit interceptions this year.
– Roughly 45 percent of the turnovers for all the teams combined are fumble recoveries, while 55 percent are interceptions.
– Washington leads the conference with 14 fumble recoveries.
– Stanford only got nine turnovers in its first 10 games, while last week against California, the Cardinal defense registered five takeaways.
– Washington State is last in the conference with an interception only once every 194.0 pass attempts.

Red Zone: Touchdowns Allowed vs Chances


– Washington is now the only team keeping opponents from scoring red zone touchdowns in less than half opponent chances.
– The Stanford defense only allows opponents into the Cardinal red zone less than one in five drives.
– The California defense has allowed opponents into its red zone 59 times this year, which represents 40 percent of the drives it’s faced.
– Less than 10 percent of the touchdowns the Oregon defense has given up have come from beyond its own red zone.
– Roughly 40 percent of the touchdowns Arizona and OSU give up happen from outside their red zones.

Havoc Rate (the aggressive defense measurement)


– ASU is still third in the conference in its Havoc Rate
– Seven teams increased their Havoc Rate this week, while five saw their rates decrease.
– Utah and Arizona have seen their Havoc Rates increase the most over their rates from the 2013 season.
– California has now seen its Havoc Rate decrease the most compared to its 2013 rate.
– Half the conference teams have better than a 20 percent Havoc rate this year, while only four had over 20 percent in 2013.

Havoc Rate developed by Bill Connelly at Football Outsiders

Weekly Havoc Rate for the South Division

Here’s a look at the weekly changes in the Havoc Rate for each of the South Division teams from Week Six to this past weekend.


Next ASU Opponent: Arizona

Here is a look at ASU’s next defensive opponent the Arizona Wildcats comparing how the team has done so far this year versus the results from all of 2013.

Points allowed per game……2014—24.6…….…..2013—24.2
Yards allowed per game.……2014—440……..……2013—-401
Turnovers per game…….……2014—-2.0….………2013—-1.7
Giving up red zone TDs…….2014—57%…………2013—-67%
3rd down conversion rate….2014—40%………..2013—-39%
Completions % allowed…….2014—65%………..2013—-59%
Havoc Rate……………………..2014—19.7%………2013—16.7%
Sacks per game..……………..2014—2.7…….….…2013—1.4

The big difference between this year’s Arizona defense compared to last year is that this year’s squad seems to be pressuring opponents a little more than the squad last year based on the increased number of sacks per game and the increase in its Havoc Rate. It is also a bit stingier in the red zone compared to 2013. However, the 2014 Wildcat defense is giving up almost 40 yards more per game this year, along with allowing a 6 percent increase in pass completions. The most important category, which is the points allowed is pretty much the same for both years.

About Gary Doran

Gary Doran

Gary graduated from ASU many years ago. After careers working in banking, finance and the financial administration of academic research funding, he is now interested in utilizing his passion for numbers towards two things he thoroughly loves; Arizona State University and college football. He is looking forward to finding the “stories” buried within the numbers on a football stat sheet. He has gone to ASU football games all the way back to the days of Frank Kush and the WAC. He has been married to an amazing ASU graduate for almost forty years, and they currently live in Ventura, CA. Although this may disqualify him from talking football, he and his wife enjoy the practice of yoga and dancing the Argentine Tango. Ole!

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