Gary Doran

Weekly Stat-Pac: Offense Week 8

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It’s All About the Score

There are now only two teams left that are averaging more than 40 points per game: Oregon and Cal. While Stanford and Oregon State are still averaging less than 30 points per game. It is interesting that the Arizona Wildcats average scoring only 13 points in the first half of their games and almost double that by averaging 24 points in the second half of their games. UCLA is still the slowest starting offense in the conference in that they have only scored 29 total points in seven games for an average of just 4.1 points in the opening quarter. The Oregon Duck are a scoring machine in the second quarter of their games scoring 112 points in their seven games. They are the only conference team so far to have scored over 100 points in a quarter. ASU leads the conference in fourth quarter scoring with 73 points. Both Oregon and Washington State are right behind with 72 points. USC has scored the most first quarter points of any conference team in scoring 87 points. Washington, who is ASU’s next opponent, is second scoring 72 first quarter points so far this year.

Pac-12_Week_8_O_Points

Offense by the Yard

The two idle teams from last week, Arizona and Washington State are now the top two offensive teams in terms of yards gained at 557 and 535 yards per game. There are now only four teams still averaging over 500 yards per game with Oregon at 527 and ASU at 523 yards per game rounding out the four. Washington and Stanford remain the only two teams averaging less than 400 yards per game. Week Eight saw the fewest total yards per team so far this year, as seven of the ten teams playing gained less than 405 yards for the game.

Pac-12_Week_8_O_Yards

First Downs

The Arizona Wildcats are again at the top of the conference in first downs per game at just under 30 per game, while the Stanford Cardinal and the Washington Huskies have gained less that 20 first downs per game at only 19.0 and 19.7 per game. On a per play basis, the Oregon Ducks gain a first down once every 2.7 plays, which leads the conference in that regard, with the Sun Devils and Wildcats right behind at 2.9 first downs per play. Utah and Washington both take the most plays to garner a first down at 3.7 plays per first down.

Pac-12_Week_8_O_First

Third Time’s a Charm

Oregon is the only conference team that has converted more than 50 percent of its third down chances. However, the Ducks have seen the fewest third down chances on a per game basis than any other conference team, averaging only 12.4 third down situations per game. The Arizona Wildcats have faced the most third down situations averaging almost 18 third down chances per game. Oregon State is the lowest conference team in terms of third down success in converting less than one-third of its third down chances. Stanford and Washington are the next two weakest teams at third down conversion success. Both teams are converting less than 40 percent of their chances.

Pac-12_Week_8_O_Third

Average Yards for and Against

There are only two teams that have gained more than 1.0 yards per play than their defenses have given up: Stanford at +2.0 yards per play and Oregon at +1.8 yards per play. There are now two teams that have given up more yards on defense than they have gained on offense: Colorado -1.1 and ASU’s next opponent, Washington -0.4 net yards per play. The Oregon Ducks lead the conference in generating an average of 7.4 yards per offensive play. The Sun Devils are next averaging 6.7 yards per game. Stanford still leads the conference in only allowing 3.8 yards per play so far this year, with Utah next at 4.7 yards per play. With ASU’s stellar showing last week, they are now giving up under 6 yards a play for the season. The Washington Huskies are averaging only 5.0 yards per play, which is now the lowest in the conference.

Pac-12_Week_8_O_Avg_Yards

Sack It Up

UCLA improved its per pass sack rating in only giving up a sack once every 9.8 passes after its game against the Cal Bear defense. Utah is not that much better in giving up a sack once every 10.8 passes. Colorado is still the best at only giving up a sack once every 28.8 plays, with Washington State right behind only giving up a sack once every 27.5 passes. Last week, every team gave up a sack at least once during the game. Although ASU gave up four sacks last week against Stanford, the Sun Devils have given up the fewest total number of sacks in the conference at only eleven in six games.

Pac-12_Week_8_O_Sacks

Turnover Beethoven

Stanford is continuing to hurt itself with turnovers. Although two of its turnovers last week were due to special team play, the Cardinal’s fifteen turnover so far this year equals out to a turnover once every 30.2 offensive plays. Cal is next at a turnover once every 41.8 plays. One of the bright spots for the Washington Huskies offense is the lack of turnovers. Up until last week, the Huskies had only turned the ball over one time. This past weekend, the Huskies gave the ball away twice. Even with the two turnovers, they still are averaging a turnover only once every 170 plays. Two other teams, Oregon and USC are also averaging over 100 plays before turning the ball over. Even with the four-turnover nightmare ASU experienced against UCLA, the Sun Devils are averaging a turnover only once every 93.2 plays.

Pac-12_Week_8_O_Turnover

Red Zoning In

As was noted in third down conversion section, Oregon State is the lowest in the conference in converting third down opportunities. The Beavers are also at the bottom of the conference in converting red zone chances into touchdowns. Only 46.4 percent of their red zone opportunities have resulted in touchdowns. The combination of those two do not project an offense that performs in crunch time. Stanford and Arizona are not far ahead in only converting 46.7 percent each of their red zone chances. USC is tops in the conference in converting 75 percent of red zone opportunities to touchdowns. Oregon is next at 73.5 percent. Utah is only averaging 3.3 trips a game into its opponent’s red zone. Washington State is at the top averaging 5.4 red zone opportunities per game.

Pac-12_Week_8_O_Red-Zone

Next ASU Opponent: Washington

As you can see by the different categories below, ASU’s next opponent Washington isn’t what it was last year on offense, at least not so far this year. The biggest difference seems to be a 1.3-yard per play difference in the yards generated between this year and last. (That’s a 20% drop in yard production.) There also seems to be a decline in converting critical offensive situations, as both the third down conversion rate and red zone conversion rate for touchdowns are down this year.

Red Zone touchdowns success rate…..2014–68% 2013–75%
3rd down conversion rate………….…..2014–42% 2013–49%
Avg yards gained per play………………2014–5.0 2013–6.3
Avg score per game………………………2014—33 2013–38
Turnovers per game………………….….2014–0.4 2013–1.2
Completion percentage…………………….2014–61.2% 2013–65.4%

As always, if there is something you’d like to see us begin to track, please let us know.

About Gary Doran

Gary Doran

Gary graduated from ASU many years ago. After careers working in banking, finance and the financial administration of academic research funding, he is now interested in utilizing his passion for numbers towards two things he thoroughly loves; Arizona State University and college football. He is looking forward to finding the “stories” buried within the numbers on a football stat sheet. He has gone to ASU football games all the way back to the days of Frank Kush and the WAC. He has been married to an amazing ASU graduate for almost forty years, and they currently live in Ventura, CA. Although this may disqualify him from talking football, he and his wife enjoy the practice of yoga and dancing the Argentine Tango. Ole!

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