Gary Doran

Weekly Stat-Pac: Offense Week 9

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The Stat-Pac graphs have a new look trying to match the team colors to the columns on the graphs measuring the data. The border colors around the graph have also changed with all the offensive Stat-Pac graphs with borders in one color and all the defensive Stat-Pac graphs with borders in another color. Hope the color changes make it more interesting and easier for everyone to read. Enjoy!

It’s All About the Score

The Arizona Wildcats have now joined Oregon and Cal in averaging more than 40 points per game thanks to its 59 point outburst against Washington State this past weekend. The Oregon Ducks have now scored 201 first half points in eight games for an average of over 25 points for the starting half of their games. On the other hand, Oregon State has only scored 70 second half points for a ten point average finishing out their games. The Ducks are still the only team to have scored more than 100 points in a single quarter by putting up 136 point in the second quarter. Washington State’s Air Raid offense of Mike Leach has failed to launch early in games only scoring 41 first quarter points in eight games, for an average of less than a touchdown a game. UCLA is now second lowest with 46 total points in the beginning quarter in its eight games. Oregon State and Utah both experience a steady decline in scoring from the first quarter to the fourth quarter so far this year. Stanford has only put up 24 points in the third quarter in eight games for a lowly three point average. Although Washington State starts its scoring slowly, the Cougars close out their games with a flurry scoring 93 fourth quarter points to lead the conference.

Pac-12_Week_9_O_Points

Offense by the Yard

Although Arizona’s average dropped fifteen yards per game, the Wildcats still lead the conference in total yards per game at roughly 542 yards. Washington State is still second at 536 yards per game, with the Oregon Duck right behind them with 535 yards per game. California is the only other conference team averaging more than 500 yards per game at 505. There are now four conference teams averaging less than 400 yards per game. The Washington Huskies are the lowest producing team in term of yards per game in putting up only 355 yards per game. Oregon State is next at only 368 yards per game and Stanford has now moved ahead of the Beavers at 383 yards per game. Utah is the fourth team to average less than 400 yards per game gaining only 392 yards per game. In their last five games, Utah has not gained more than 360 total yards.

Pac-12_Week_9_O_Yards

First Downs

Arizona still leads the conference in generating first downs at just over 29 per game, while Stanford, Washington and Utah have gained less than 20 first downs per game. Last week, California, Colorado and Washington State were the only three teams to gain 30 or more first downs in their games, however, all three lost. ASU was the lowest producing team in terms of first downs last week at only 14 against the Huskies. On a per play basis, Oregon gains a first down every 2.7 plays which leads the conference. Washington and Utah take the most plays to generate a first down at 3.7 plays per first down.

Pac-12_Week_9_O_First

Third Time’s a Charm

Oregon is still on a roll in terms of converting third down opportunities in that they are the only team to convert double-digit third down opportunities over the past two weeks. They are also the only team to convert more than 50 percent of their third down chances into first downs at roughly 53 percent for the year. USC is next at 47 percent and Cal is third at 46 percent. Arizona has had the most third down chances per game than any other team in the conference averaging 17.0 chances per game. Oregon State is again at the bottom of the conference in third down conversion success at just over 30 percent. They are also the only team to have faced less than 100 third down opportunities, and have converted only 29 of them.

Pac-12_Week_9_O_Third

Average Yards for and Against

Stanford and Oregon increased their net gains in the average yards per play a team gains on offense compared to the average yards per play its defense surrenders. Stanford now gains +2.2 yards more per play than it gives up. Oregon is not far behind at +1.9 yards per play. UCLA is now third at +0.9 yards per play. Colorado and Washington are still giving up more yards per play than they gain. Colorado is now at -1.1 yards per play, while Washington is at -0.3 per play. Additionally, Washington is now the only conference team generating less than 5.0 yards per play on offense. Oregon is on top gaining 7.5 yards per play on offense. There are three teams that produce less than a half of a yard difference between what they gain per play and what they give up per play. Those three teams are Oregon State, Cal and Washington State.

Pac-12_Week_9_O_Avg_Yards

Sack It Up

UCLA did not give up a sack last weekend against Colorado. That helped raise the sacks per pass for them to one every 10.6 passes. That rate still keeps UCLA at the bottom of the conference, but the Bruins are really improving lately in this category. Since giving up ten sacks against Utah, UCLA has only given up three sacks in the last three games. Oregon has also only given up three sacks since giving up seven against Arizona. On the other hand, ASU and Oregon State have given up eleven sacks in the past two weeks. UCLA was not the only team doing a good job of protecting its quarterback last weekend, as Colorado and Oregon did not allow a sack either. Colorado still leads the conference in only giving up a sack once every 32.6 passes. Washington State is next at 26.0 passes per sack.

Pac-12_Week_9_O_Sacks

Turnover Beethoven

Despite only committing only one turnover last week, Stanford still leads the conference in giving away the ball. Last week saw the most turnovers allowed so far this season with 19 total turnovers for the weekend for the conference. The Washington Huskies turned the ball over the most last weekend in losing three turnovers. Up to Week 8, Washington had only turned the ball over one time. In the past two games, the Huskies have committed five turnovers. Last weekend, Oregon State was the only conference team not to turn the ball over. Due to all the turnovers lately by Washington, the Oregon Ducks now lead the conference with the fewest number of turnovers at only five in eight games. Washington and ASU are next with six turnovers each.

Pac-12_Week_9_O_Turnovers

Red Zoning In

USC is still the best team at generating a touchdown once it gets into its opponents’ red zones. The success rate actually increased from 75 percent last week to 76.7 percent this week. Colorado is next at exactly a 75 percent success rate. Oregon has the third best success rate at 71.8 percent. Stanford has replaced Oregon State with the lowest success rate at converting red zone opportunities into touchdowns at only 44.1 percent. As far as red zone opportunities, Washington State sees the most at 5.5 opportunities per game, while Arizona is next at 5.1 opportunities per game. There are four conference teams that have scored as many or more red zone touchdowns as Utah has had red zone chances.

Pac-12_Week_9_O_Red_Zone

Next ASU Opponent: Utah

As you can see by the different categories below, ASU’s next opponent Utah is doing better in a couple of offensive categories compared to last year. One big improvement seems to be in the reduction in offensive turnovers. So far this year, Utah has cut the turnover rate per game by more than half. The Utes are also averaging about a touchdown and PAT more than it did last year per game. However, Utah’s average yards gained per play is the fourth lowest in the conference so far this year.

Red Zone touchdowns success rate…….2014–54%…….2013–64%
3rd down conversion rate………………..2014–39%……..2013–34%
Avg yards gained per play……………….2014–5.3……….2013—5.5
Avg score per game………………….……2014—36……….2013—29
Turnovers per game………………………2014—1.0………2013—2.1
Completion percentage………………….2014—58%……..2013—53%

As always, if there is something you’d like to see us begin to track, please let us know.

About Gary Doran

Gary Doran

Gary graduated from ASU many years ago. After careers working in banking, finance and the financial administration of academic research funding, he is now interested in utilizing his passion for numbers towards two things he thoroughly loves; Arizona State University and college football. He is looking forward to finding the “stories” buried within the numbers on a football stat sheet. He has gone to ASU football games all the way back to the days of Frank Kush and the WAC. He has been married to an amazing ASU graduate for almost forty years, and they currently live in Ventura, CA. Although this may disqualify him from talking football, he and his wife enjoy the practice of yoga and dancing the Argentine Tango. Ole!

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